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That Backtested Performance Looks Awesome!

I recently had a deep conversation with an experienced financial advisor about the backtested performance of a couple of model portfolios that were presented. He mentioned to me that the performance looked really attractive, including one model that showed backtested performance of no negative annual returns for several years. He was really excited about this

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Huh? How Can the Bond Market Rally?!?

I recently had a discussion with an experienced financial advisor about the bond markets. He believed that bonds would sell off when the U.S. Federal Reserve raised the fed funds rate at the next meeting, which was widely anticipated. He thought that when the Fed raised the fed funds rate, yields across the yield curve

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Everyone Has an Opinion

As I speak with various financial advisors, investment professionals, friends, family, etc. about the markets, I continue to reiterate that everyone has an opinion. I’ve used the phrase “nobody knows shit” (sorry for the vulgarity) multiple times in the last couple of months, so I thought I’d share my thoughts here, particularly in an environment

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Treasury I (Inflation) Bonds vs. The Fed

Treasury Series I (inflation) savings bonds have been all the rage with inflation hitting highs not seen in decades. I’m not going to go into detail about I Bonds as you can find a lot of great up to date information on the Treasury Direct website: https://www.treasurydirect.gov/savings-bonds/i-bonds/ I Bonds Summary Is inflation high and thus

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recession, economy

The “R” Word

What a perfect topic to start Kulwicki Insights! R-E-C-E-S-S-I-O-N A recession is a word used to indicate an economic slowdown. That’s it. A definition often used for a recession is two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth. This technical definition of a recession is a backward looking definition. It looks back the last two

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